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Learn How Economics Affects Stocks PDF Print E-mail
Written by Anthony Green   
Economics. Double ugh! No, you aren’t required to understand “the inelasticity of demand aggregates” or “marginal utility”. But a working knowledge of basic economics is crucial to your success and proficiency as a stock investor. The stock market and the economy are joined at the hip. The good (or bad) things that happen to one have a direct effect on the other.

Getting the hang of the basic concepts

Alas, many investors get lost on basic economic concepts (as do some so called experts that you see on television). I owe my personal investing success to my status as a student of economics. Understanding basic economics helped me (and will help you) filter the financial news to separate relevant information from the irrelevant in order to make better investment decisions.

Be aware of these important economic concepts:

Supply and demand:

How can anyone possibly think about economics without thinking of the ageless concept of supply and demand? Supply and demand can be simply stated as the relationship between what’s available (the supply) and what people want and are willing to pay for (the demand). This equation is the main engine of economic activity and is extremely important for your stock investing analysis and decision-making process. I mean, do you really want to buy stock in a company that makes elephant-foot umbrella stands if you find out that the company has an oversupply and nobody wants to buy them anyway?

Cause and effect:

If you pick up a prominent news report and read, “Companies in the table industry are expecting plummeting sales,” do you rush out and invest in companies that sell chairs or manufacture tablecloths? Considering cause and effect is an exercise in logical thinking, and believe you me, logic is a major component of sound economic thought.
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Adverse Effects Of Rising Interest Rates PDF Print E-mail
Written by Anthony Green   
Rising and falling interest rates offer a special risk to stock investors. Historically, rising interest rates have had an adverse effect on stock prices. Hurting a company’s financial condition. Rising interest rates have a negative impact on companies that carry a large current debt load or that need to take on more debt because when interest rates rise, the cost of borrowing money rises, too. Ultimately, the company’s profitability and ability to grow are reduced. When a company’s profits (or earnings) drop, its stock becomes less desirable, and its stock price falls.

Affecting a company’s customers

A company’s success comes when it sells its products or services. But what happens if increased interest rates negatively impact its customers (specifically, other companies that buy from it)? The financial health of its customers directly affects the company’s ability to grow sales and earnings. For a good example of this situation, consider what happened to Cisco Systems in 2000.

Because a huge part of its sales went to the telecommunications industry, Cisco’s profitability depended on the health of that entire industry. The telecom industry’s debt ballooned to $700 billion. This debt became the telecom industry’s financial Achilles heel, which, in turn, became a pain in the neck to Cisco. Because telecom companies bought less (especially from Cisco), Cisco’s profits shrank. From March 2000 to March 2001, Cisco’s stock fell by nearly 70 percent! As of September 2001, Cisco’s stock price continued to decline because the companies that were Cisco’s customers were hurting financially. Impacting investors’ decision-making considerations

When interest rates rise, investors start to rethink their investment strategies, resulting in one of two outcomes:

- Investors may sell any shares in interest-sensitive stocks that they hold. Interest-sensitive industries include electric utilities, real estate, and the financial sector. Although increased interest rates can hurt these sectors, the reverse is also generally true. Falling interest rates boost the same industries. Keep in mind that interest rate changes affect some industries more than others.
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